NFL WEEK 3: Our official predictions for who wins this weekend
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Week 3 of the NFL season is here!
After two weeks, football fans are getting an idea of how this year might shake out. This week, 2-0 teams will look to prove their early season success isn't just a fluke, and 0-2 teams will desperately try to save their young seasons from postseason irrelevance.
For gamblers, Week 3 presents a tough challenge, as there are a whopping ten home underdogs on the slate. Educated bettors know to always take a close look at home dogs, but with so many on the schedule it's tough to know where to put your money and where it's safe to lay the points.
We went 11-5 against the spread last week, bringing our season total to a pleasantly profitable 21-10 so far. We'll try to continue our winning ways below.
All lines come courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.
Los Angeles Rams (-3) at San Francisco 49ers (Thursday, 8:25 p.m. ET)
The pick: Niners +3
The logic: Thursday Night Football has blessed us with yet another game of questionable watchability. It's probably a stay-away game for most bettors, but if you're feeling the itch, here's one stat to know: over the Niners' past 22 games they are 0-19 against teams not named the Rams, and 3-0 against teams that are named the Rams. On Thursday, they're playing a team named the Rams. Just a thought.
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET in London)
The pick: Ravens -3.5
The logic: While I'm not sure if I'm buying the Ravens as the 2-0 defensive powerhouse they've shown themselves to be thus far, it's tough to turn down the chance to bet against Blake Bortles when he's facing a defense that is averaging four interceptions a week. The Ravens' defensive numbers will eventually regress to the norm, but we can ride them for one more week in this spot.
Denver Broncos (-3) at Buffalo Bills (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The pick: Bills +3
The logic: The Broncos and quarterback Trevor Siemian are one of the biggest stories in the league right now, fresh off a win in which they made the Cowboys look absolutely mediocre. Meanwhile the Bills struggled to beat the Jets to open the season. This, dear reader, is what we call a trap game. The line feels way to small, but this is the Broncos first road test of the year, and according to both SportsInsights and OddsShark, Denver is currently the most heavily bet team of the week, taking a 84% of the bets on this game. When the world zigs, we zag, especially if it means we get a home dog.
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